05 Apr Feasibility of the path of mediation between Ukraine and Russia : An Analysis in special context to appeal of Russian Foreign minister
Feasibility of the path of mediation between Ukraine and Russia – Today Current Affairs
Context : During the visit of the Russian Foreign minister last week , Russian Foreign minister indicated that Russia is ready to stop war if India would bring any proposals through which Russia’s security concern could be addressed . Russia will accept the mediation of India . Similar signs were given by Ukraine that India must interfere in This war . And Even India has also been many times stating that , war is not the solution of any problem, the solution must be searched for in the peace .
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Introduction :
- Almost , more than 1 month has been passed of Russia Ukrainian war and despite huge economic sanction neither Russia stopped invasions and nor Ukraine has surrendered despite thousand of the soldiers and Civilians of Ukraine have been Killed . In the meantime , officials of many big countries like America (deputy NSA), Russia, Israel have visited India or are planning to visit India very soon . India has shown its clear stands during the Ukraine Russian conflict .
- After a long time , Russia had declared full fledged war against Ukraine after 1994, Despite peace talks held on March 29, in Istanbul (Turkey), direct negotiations between the conflicting parties have failed to make much progress. A complete cease fire is yet to be achieved .
- In such a situation , Russia is facing huge economic sanctions on itself and facing the economical crisis . The inflation in Russia has risen up to more than 15 % .The Russian Central Bank’s forex reserves remain frozen and it cannot access financing and loans from multilateral institutions.
- In such a situation , is it reasonable to think whether the war could be ended without any clear result? Whether Russia would be ready to stop the war without making sure about his security concerns from the side of Ukraine and whether India could pressurize Russia to stop the war without addressing her security concerns .
Why past negotiations have failed : The Hindu Analysis
- Several past negotiations between Russia and Ukraine have been filed either held in Belarus or in Turkey. The reason behind the failure was that both the parties were not focusing on the real issue , they were focusing on the status of Donetsk and Luhansk, which would be independent or not. While the real concern was how to ensure the security for Russia from the side of Ukraine . The secret elements of the security concerns of Russia must be found and on the ground of these issues a peace talk between Ukraine and Russia may be conducted through the mediation of India .
- India is in a very good position to play his role as the Vishwa Guru . The mediation for establishment of the peace is legally validated by the UNO also. Since both the parties Russia and Ukraine are ready to accept mediation by India.
Therefore India should accept their proposal but still there are some precaution which must be followed by India
- India should not initiate any proposal of mediation . After appeal of the both the parties India should accept the mediation and without any fear or favor India should work for the establishment of peace
- India should declare that in bilateral relations, it has always been against mediation but after insisting by both the parties and for world peace and prosperity and humanism , India is mediating .
- India should one side ensuring the security concern of the Russia on other side India must focusing on the unity, integrity and sovereignty of the Ukraine
- India should make clear that in her bilateral issue (Border issue with China and Kashmir issue with Pakistan) , she will not be accepting any proposed mediation .
Why India may be most suitable mediator for both the countries : The Hindu Analysis
- India has been the propagator of peace and harmony for a long time . India was the founder of NAM, an organization of the developing countries keeping equidistant from both the sides. Hence Both the parties Ukraine and Russia must have trust on India’s mediation. For the success of the mediation , trust coefficient plays an important role. Western countries can never be mediated because the West will always be slightly inclined toward Ukraine for their own interest. This is the time for India to play a most significant role for the world peace
- Psychologically, during the war, both the countries made an issue of prestige . therefore they have forgotten their real concerns for what they are fighting. India has to find out their secret concern and both the countries, Ukraine and Russia should talk on that discovered secret concern . So that peace and harmony could be established in Europe for long time
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Conclusion
As per the above discussion , it is clear that there is an opportunity for India to play a role of the Vishwa Guru through mediating between Ukraine and Russia. India is the only country of the world who was proposed by both the parties for the mediation . But playing as the role of mediator, India should adopt some precautions
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Plutus IAS Current Affairs Team Member
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